Page 10 Pacific Petroleum Geology Newsletter March & April 2017
CLIMATE CHANGE: FACTS & FICTION
W.C. Rusty Riese, Adjunct Professor Rice University
The past several years have seen numerous opinion pieces, editorials, and technical papers regarding climate change in the pages of many publications, both scientific and secular. Although both sides of this now almost religious debate were represented, few if any real facts or data are provided to support the opinions expressed. The public deserves more, and specifically deserves to be properly informed.
The heat content of the atmosphere has remained largely unchanged since 1995. Data prepared and compiled by a number of climate scientists illustrate the wide divergence of climate model projections from what has been occurring: the climate has not been warming any more than would be expected as the world continues to move out of the Little Ice Age.
These data have been accepted by the IPCC, whose chair admits that the climate modeling community does not understand what is happening. Water vapor in the atmosphere is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2 (McIntyre and McKitrick, 2003). Climatologists have understood this for decades and this is a fact clearly expressed in all climatology textbooks.
None of the climate models employed today adequately addresses the influence of water vapor. Cosmic radiation is the source of the particles which cause water droplet nucleation and cloud formation in the upper atmosphere (Laken et al ., 2010). Its flux, in turn, is directly influenced by solar activity and the strength of the resulting solar wind. None of the climate models deal with either of these first-order climate influences (Hoyt and Schatten, 1997; D'Aleo, 2013).
The Earth's atmosphere has had far higher CO2 content many times and for much of the geologic past, and major glacial events have occurred during those times, most notably during the Carboniferous and Silurian. The inescapable conclusion is that CO2 has no relationship to the temperature of the Earth's atmosphere. This is a conclusion that was reached by many scientists who have looked at ice core data and found that increases in CO2 in the atmosphere occur several hundred years after temperatures have risen -- they do not change in lock-step as has been claimed, and an event 800 years in the future cannot impact events today. These facts allow a number of fictions to be addressed:
What do scientists say?
Richard Lindzen, an Atmospheric Scientist who has taught at MIT
for thirty years, explains in this video. (Prager U)
• Polar bears will not become extinct if sea ice diminishes. Polar bears were around before the Medieval Warm Period and came through it just fine. A recently published, peer-review study of the Davis Straights in Canada found that not only had the polar bear population increased dramatically since the 1970s, but that the area may have reached its carrying capacity. Good news for polar bears (Peacock et al., 2013).
• The evolution which the climate is exhibiting, and which it constantly exhibits, is not causing an increase in violent storms. The frequency of violent tornados (>F3) is similar.
• The changes in climate during the past 100 years have not caused either an increase in flooding or an increase in the number or extent of droughts.
• The number of daily record high temperatures is not at an all-time high. For the past 100 years that was reached in the 1930s during the Dust Bowl.
• Finally, there is not a consensus among scientists that anthropogenic CO2 is causing climate change. The widely quoted number of 97% of scientists believing in global warming is based on an on-line survey of 10,257 earth scientists. 3,146 replied and all but 77 were "disqualified" by the researchers conducting the survey. Of those, 75 thought that humans were contributing to climate change, thus the 97% number, one that is not particularly robust. [ed. note: 75/3146 = 0.0002%]
The conclusions to be drawn from examination of these data are four: 1. All of the scary global warming scenarios are based on computer models. 2. None of the models work. 3. There is and has been no scientific consensus, claims to the contrary notwithstanding (Cook et al., 2013). 4. The data which come from our global experiment - the observations we have made - indicate that the climate is evolving and always has evolved continuously. There are no data indicating that people have caused that change: the contributions humans may make to those changes are lost in the noise of natural variability. We need to use this information to stop our regulators and legislators from taking steps and passing laws which will have no effect on the climate we enjoy and can only have disastrous impacts on our economy and the welfare of much of mankind.
Yup, Global Cooling
By Ian Rutherford Plimer
Dr. Plimer is an Australian geologist, professor emeritus of earth sciences at the University of Melbourne , professor of mining geology at the University of Adelaide, and the director of multiple mineral exploration and mining companies. He has published 130 scientific papers, six books and edited the Encyclopedia of Geology.
Born: 12 February 1946
Fields of Study: Earth Science, Geology, Mining Engineering
Institutions: University of New England , University of Newcastle, University of Melbourne, University of Adelaide
Alma mater: University of New South Wales, Macquarie University
Thesis: The pipe deposits of tungsten-molybdenum-bismuth in eastern Australia (1976)
Notable Awards: Eureka Prize (1995,2002), Centenary Medal (2003), Clarke Medal (2004)
Where Does the Carbon Dioxide Really Come From?
PLIMER: "Okay, here's the bombshell. The recent volcanic eruption in Iceland. Since its first spewing of volcanic ash has, in just FOUR DAYS, NEGATED EVERY SINGLE EFFORT you have made in the past five years to control CO2 emissions on our planet - all of you.
Of course, you know about this evil carbon dioxide that we are trying to suppress - it's that vital chemical compound that every plant requires to live and grow and to synthesize into oxygen for us humans and all animal life.
I know....it's very disheartening to realize that all of the carbon emission savings you have accomplished while suffering the inconvenience and expense of driving Prius hybrids, buying fabric grocery bags, sitting up till midnight to finish your kids "The Green Revolution" science project, throwing out all of your non-green cleaning supplies, using only two squares of toilet paper, putting a brick in your toilet tank reservoir, selling your SUV and speedboat, vacationing at home instead of abroad, nearly getting hit every day on your bicycle, replacing all of your 50p light bulbs with L5 light bulbs ..... well, all of those things you have done have all gone down the tubes in just four days. [ed.: guessing a throwback to English monetary system]
The volcanic ash emitted into the Earth's atmosphere in just four days - yes, FOUR DAYS - by that volcano in Iceland has totally erased every single effort you have made to reduce the evil beast, carbon. And there are around 200 active volcanoes on the planet spewing out this crud at any one time - EVERY DAY.
I don't really want to rain on your parade too much, but I should mention that when the volcano Mt. Pinatubo erupted in the Philippines in 1991, it spewed out more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than the entire human race had emitted in all its years on earth.
Yes, folks, Mt. Pinatubo was active for over one year - think about it!!!!
Of course, I shouldn't spoil this 'touchy-feely tree-hugging' moment and mention the effect of solar and cosmic activity and the well-recognized 800-year global heating and cooling cycle, which keeps happening despite our completely insignificant efforts to affect climate change.
And I do wish I had a silver lining to this volcanic ash cloud, but the fact of the matter is that the bush fire season across the western USA and Australia this year alone will negate your efforts to reduce carbon in our world for the next two to three years. And it happens every year.
Just remember that your government just tried to impose a whopping carbon tax on you, on the basis of the bogus 'human-caused' climate-change scenario.
Hey, isn't it interesting how they don't mention 'Global Warming' anymore, but just 'Climate Change' - you know why? It's because the planet has COOLED by 0.7 degrees in the past few years and these global warming bull artists got caught with their pants down.
And, just keep in mind that you might yet have an Emissions Trading Scheme - that whopping new tax - imposed on you that will achieve absolutely nothing except make you poorer. It won't stop any volcanoes from erupting, that's for sure.
But, hey, relax... give the world a hug and have a nice day!"
James Shott, Patriot Post:
"Clearing the Air on Fossil Fuels" * click *
Scientific Paper written to the unprejudiced person:
"CARBON DIOXIDE: The Good News"
click HERE for PDF
...instead, you should worry about Global COOLING... *click*
UN "Global warming" head says it's
all within the normal range
click here for the abstract by Dr. Philip J. Lloyd,
Energy Institute, Cape Peninsula University of Technology, Capetown
* * * * *
as reported in
The Daily Caller (click)
SWITCH: GREENPEACE CO-FOUNDER NOW
IS A "GLOBAL WARMING" SKEPTIC
Click HERE for his Video
Study: Global Warming: NOT
Newsmax article - Click HERE